Connecticut
W-L: (29- 9) PR = 96.8893Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 920 A Quinnipiac AC (28- 8, 97.7) 0- 3 926 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 1- 2 927 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 2- 1 1003 A Clarkson AC (20-11, 96.7) 0- 2 1004 A Clarkson AC (20-11, 96.7) 3- 2 1017 H Princeton AC (23-10, 97.1) 2- 1 1018 H Princeton AC (23-10, 97.1) 3- 0 1024 A Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 1- 1 1025 A Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 1101 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 4- 3 1102 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 3- 2 1107 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 3- 1 1108 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 1- 2 1121 H Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 4- 0 1122 H Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 6- 3 1128 H Quinnipiac AC (28- 8, 97.7) 4- 3 1128 H Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 6- 1 1129 H Yale AC (25- 9, 97.2) 3- 2 1129 H Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 5- 0 1205 H Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 1- 1 1206 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 3- 2 102 A Providence (12-25, 94.0) 4- 1 103 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 5- 0 109 A Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 1 110 A Maine (12-21, 94.6) 4- 3 115 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 8- 1 116 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 1- 2 124 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 0- 1 125 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 4 130 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 1- 0 131 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 2- 3 206 A Providence (12-25, 94.0) 2- 1 207 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 6- 2 213 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 5- 1 214 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 2- 0 220 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 221 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 5- 3 228 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 6- 1 303 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 6- 1 307 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
920 A Quinnipiac 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.82
926 H St. Cloud State 1- 2 -1 1 -1.69
927 H St. Cloud State 2- 1 1 1 0.31
1003 A Clarkson 0- 2 -2 0 -1.81
1004 A Clarkson 3- 2 1 0 1.19
1017 H Princeton 2- 1 1 0 0.86
1018 H Princeton 3- 0 3 0 + 2.86
1024 A Mercyhurst 1- 1 0 0 -0.37
1025 A Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 0 0.63
1101 H Holy Cross 4- 3 1 2 -1.33
1102 A Holy Cross 3- 2 1 2 -0.56
1107 A Boston College 3- 1 2 2 0.34
1108 H Boston College 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.43
1121 H Vermont 4- 0 4 3 1.48
1122 H Vermont 6- 3 3 3 0.48
1128 H Quinnipiac 4- 3 1 0 1.41
1128 H Stonehill 6- 1 5 4 1.43
1129 H Yale 3- 2 1 0 0.89
1129 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 1 + 3.86
1205 H Boston University 1- 1 0 3 - -2.91
1206 A Boston University 3- 2 1 2 -1.14
102 A Providence 4- 1 3 3 0.48
103 H Providence 5- 0 5 3 1.71
109 A Maine 2- 1 1 2 -0.89
110 A Maine 4- 3 1 2 -0.89
115 H Merrimack 8- 1 7 4 + 3.19
116 A Merrimack 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.03
125 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.66
131 H New Hampshire 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.97
206 A Providence 2- 1 1 3 -1.52
207 H Boston College 6- 2 4 2 1.57
213 A New Hampshire 5- 1 4 1 + 2.80
214 A Boston University 2- 0 2 2 -0.14
220 H Northeastern 2- 3 -1 1 -1.66
221 H Merrimack 5- 3 2 4 -1.81
228 H Maine 6- 1 5 3 + 2.34
303 H Holy Cross 6- 1 5 2 + 2.67
307 A Northeastern 2- 1 1 0 1.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 A Merrimack 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.03 1108 H Boston College 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.43 1205 H Boston University 1- 1 0 3 - -2.91 125 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.66 131 H New Hampshire 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Princeton 3- 0 3 0 + 2.86 1129 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 1 + 3.86 115 H Merrimack 8- 1 7 4 + 3.19 213 A New Hampshire 5- 1 4 1 + 2.80 228 H Maine 6- 1 5 3 + 2.34 303 H Holy Cross 6- 1 5 2 + 2.67 |
Connecticut Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Connecticut | Connecticut 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lindenwood | Connecticut | Connecticut 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mercyhurst | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 3- 1) | Penn State | |
| RIT | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Connecticut | |
| Robert Morris | Connecticut | Connecticut 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Syracuse | Connecticut | Connecticut 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Brown | Connecticut | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 4) | Connecticut | |
| Clarkson | Connecticut | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 2) | Connecticut | |
| Colgate | Connecticut | tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 2) | Connecticut | |
| Cornell | Connecticut | Connecticut 6- 3 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Dartmouth | Connecticut | Connecticut 6- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Harvard | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 4) | Connecticut | |
| Princeton | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Quinnipiac | Connecticut | Connecticut 2- 0 vs 4- 1 | ||
| RPI | Connecticut | Connecticut 5- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| St. Lawrence | Connecticut | Connecticut 7- 3 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Union | Connecticut | Connecticut 4- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Yale | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Boston College | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Boston University | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Holy Cross | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Maine | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Merrimack | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| New Hampshire | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Northeastern | Northeastern | Northeastern | ||
| Providence | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Vermont | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Assumption | Connecticut | Connecticut 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Franklin Pierce | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Connecticut | |
| LIU | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Post | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Sacred Heart | Connecticut | Connecticut 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Saint Anselm | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Connecticut | |
| St.Michael's | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Stonehill | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Bemidji State | Connecticut | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Minnesota State | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Ohio State | |
| St. Cloud State | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| St. Thomas | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Connecticut | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 1) | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 38
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Quinnipiac (28- 8, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.22 5.71 0.39 0.90 -0.83
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 0.90 -1.68
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 0.90 7.65
0 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.7) 0- 2 -3.21 4.72 0.39 0.90 -1.28
0 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.21 4.72 0.39 0.90 9.24
0 H Princeton (23-10, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.76 5.17 -0.39 0.90 8.66
0 H Princeton (23-10, 97.1) 3- 0 -2.76 5.17 -0.39 0.90 8.66
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 1- 1 -3.77 4.17 0.39 0.90 203.43
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.77 4.17 0.39 0.90 8.23
0 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 4- 3 -4.95 2.98 -0.39 0.90 4.69
0 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 3- 2 -4.95 2.98 0.39 0.90 6.09
0 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 3- 1 -5.06 2.87 0.39 0.90 5.90
0 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 1- 2 -5.06 2.87 -0.39 0.90 -2.46
0 H Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.15 2.78 -0.39 0.90 4.34
0 H Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 6- 3 -5.15 2.78 -0.39 0.90 4.34
0 H Quinnipiac (28- 8, 97.7) 4- 3 -2.22 5.71 -0.39 0.90 9.64
0 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 6- 1 -6.19 1.74 -0.39 0.90 2.45
0 H Yale (25- 9, 97.2) 3- 2 -2.73 5.20 -0.39 0.90 8.71
0 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 5- 0 -3.77 4.17 -0.39 0.90 6.84
0 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 1- 1 -5.53 2.40 -0.39 0.90 203.43
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.90 5.04
0 A Providence (12-25, 94.0) 4- 1 -5.91 2.02 0.39 0.90 4.35
0 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 5- 0 -5.91 2.02 -0.39 0.90 2.95
0 A Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 1 -5.29 2.64 0.39 0.90 5.48
0 A Maine (12-21, 94.6) 4- 3 -5.29 2.64 0.39 0.90 5.48
0 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 8- 1 -6.43 1.50 -0.39 0.90 2.02
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 1- 2 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.90 -2.73
0 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 0- 1 -3.28 4.65 -0.39 0.90 -1.66
0 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.28 4.65 -0.39 0.90 -1.66
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 1- 0 -4.59 3.34 0.39 0.90 6.74
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 2- 3 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.90 -2.25
0 A Providence (12-25, 94.0) 2- 1 -5.91 2.02 0.39 0.90 4.35
0 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 6- 2 -5.06 2.87 -0.39 0.90 4.50
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 5- 1 -4.59 3.34 0.39 0.90 6.74
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 2- 0 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.90 5.04
0 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.28 4.65 -0.39 0.90 -1.66
0 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 5- 3 -6.43 1.50 -0.39 0.90 2.02
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 6- 1 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.90 4.08
0 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 6- 1 -4.95 2.98 -0.39 0.90 4.69
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.90 9.11
------
558.69
|
winning pts = 168.0207 losing points = -16.2017
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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